How to Bet on The Preakness

From a handicapping standpoint, the Preakness Stakes can be very tricky. Horses that ran in the Kentucky Derby are forced to come back with only two weeks rest to take on a smaller field with many well rested adversaries. Many of the new horses are question marks that either didn’t qualify or didn’t run in the Preakness for one reason or another. The smaller field means less traffic which in theory makes for a less chaotic race. Unfortunately, less chaos doesn’t necessarily mean the event is easier to handicap.

Betting the Preakness, on the other hand, is no different than betting any other thoroughbred horse race. Once you understand the concepts and terminology you’ll be ready to place a bet on not only the big Triple Crown races but any race on the betting board.

Two Major Types of Bets

Any horse racing bet placed under parimutuel odds will fall into one of two categories:

Futures Betting

So why would a sportsbook take action on a horse race in the first place? Isn’t that the job of the racebook? Typically, sportsbooks take action on the major events such as the Preakness Stakes, Kentucky Derby, Breeders’ Cup, etc. During the 2020 coronavirus pandemic when many sports canceled or delayed their season it became much more common for sportsbooks to offer betting options on daily race cards at multiple tracks. This trend could continue in the future but at the very least you’ll still see sportsbooks taking action on major racing events.

For a sportsbook, the more betting events they have on the board the better. Additionally, the major horse racing events like the Preakness and Kentucky Derby often attract the interest of a more mainstream sports fan. These fans might not follow the day in and day out action at the track but they frequently like to bet on the major races. It’s good business for a sportsbook to accommodate these fans. Since these fans might not know the complexities of parimutuel wagering the sportsbook benefits from offering races in a more familiar odds format. Even if a sportsbook has a racebook right next door this is a good justification for taking action on a horse race. You’ll see this a lot in Las Vegas where the racebook and sportsbook will be offering action on major events like the Kentucky Derby at the same time.

A futures bet on a big horse race is the same as one on the Super Bowl winner or the NBA Champion. The sportsbook will list the field with a moneyline price for each horse. If your horse wins, you get paid. A sportsbook can also offer something similar to ‘win, place or show’ betting by setting futures markets on the ‘top two finishers’ or ‘top three finishers’. Sportsbooks that offer futures odds on major races will frequently take action on that race months in advance. Other books might only offer futures betting on a big race immediately before it is run.

We talked about the differences between betting at the racetrack and betting at a sportsbook in our discussion of parimutuel wagering. As you’ve probably figured based on that information there are advantages and disadvantages to betting a horse race at the sportsbook. The biggest advantage is one we talked about earlier—when you bet at a sportsbook your payout and odds are ‘locked in’. If you bet a horse at +700 to win the Preakness that will be your payout. This won’t change even if the odds fluctuate significantly after you leave the betting window. With a parimutuel bet at the horse track you have no guarantee of your payout odds and must wait until they’re calculated after race.

There is at least one disadvantage of making a futures bet on a big race at the sportsbook. In most cases, sportsbooks stipulate that ‘all bets are action’. In other words, if you bet on a horse the week before the race is run and he ends up getting injured and not running you’re out of luck and have lost your bet. If you bet at the track a ‘late scratch’ will result in having your bet refunded. If a horse doesn’t figure into the parimutuel pool he’ll be ‘no action’.

Matchup Betting & Props Betting

For anyone experienced with sports betting, horse racing matchups are simple. In fact, they’re exactly the same as any other moneyline matchup you’d find at a sportsbook. The bookmaker lists two or more horses in a race and a moneyline for each. If the horse you bet on finishes higher you cash your bet at the moneyline price indicated. For example:

HORSE #1 -350
HORSE #2 +300

This is like any other moneyline bet such as a hockey or baseball game. To back the favorite (Horse #1) you have to lay -350 to win 100 or $350 to win $100. If your horse wins you receive $450 representing your original $350 bet amount plus $100 in profit.

To bet on the underdog (Horse #2) you will be paid +300 for every 100 bet, or $300 for $100. If Horse #2 wins you’ll receive $400 in return–your $100 original stake plus $300 in profit.

Sportsbooks also offer proposition bets on the Preakness Stakes and other major races. Some of these are common to most sportsbooks. One extremely popular bet simply asks if there will or won’t be a Triple Crown winner with ‘Yes’ and ‘No’ moneylines. Other prop bets are limited only by the imagination of the bookmaker. You might see prop bets on the winning trainer, jockey or even the color of the winning horse.

Preakness Stakes Contenders

As we discussed previously, the contenders for the Preakness Stakes usually fall into one of several categories. If a horse runs well at the Kentucky Derby his connections will often bring him back two weeks later to run in the Preakness. Barring injury, the horse that won the Kentucky Derby is an almost automatic entrant into the race. The rest of the field will be three year old horses that didn’t run in the Kentucky Derby because they didn’t have enough points under the qualification system. Alternately, a trainer may decide that a horse’s racing style is a bad fit for the Derby and skip the race. Finally, you’ll sometimes see a horse with local ownership interest.

The specific contenders for the Preakness Stakes won’t come into focus until after the Kentucky Derby. The results of that race determine much about how a horse’s connections will chart his competitive path for the rest of the season. This has a ‘ripple effect’ as sometimes a trainer with a horse that didn’t run in the Derby will wait and see the ‘opposition’ before committing to the race.

Preakness History

Horse racing is a sport that prides itself on tradition but a number of long standing ones went out the window for the 2020 Preakness Stakes. The event and track dates back well over a century. Pimlico Race Course opened in 1870 and the Preakness Stakes was run for the first time in 1873 making it two years older than the Kentucky Derby. The origin of the race’s name is slightly unusual. During the first year of racing at Pimlico one of the major events was a race called the ‘Dinner Party Stakes’. This was the first stakes race run at the new track and it was won by a horse named ‘Preakness’. The fact that the race was called the Preakness and that the name stuck was a pure accident. The race was never intended to be named after the winner of the inaugural Dinner Party Stakes but for reasons unknown Maryland’s governor at the time, Oden Bowie, started referring to the race as ‘The Preakness’. The Pimlico brass liked the way it sounded and stuck with it.

The Preakness distance is now 1 3/16 miles or 9.5 furlongs but it was initially run at a mile and a half. The debut Preakness Stakes in 1873 had 7 horses entered and was won by My Sheba in a rout 10 lengths ahead of the second place finisher. This would stand as the margin of victory record for the Preakness until 2004 when Smarty Jones took the victory by 11.5 lengths which still stands as the record today. The record for fastest time belongs to the immortal Secretariat who covered the 1 3/16 miles in 1:53 seconds. As with so much else in horse racing, this would end up as a subject of controversy and has a strange backstory. Originally, Secretariat was credited with a time of 1:55 seconds but trackside clockers felt that the actual time was faster. The precise margin was significant since the race record was held by the 1971 Preakness winner Canonero II. Many longtime fans that saw both the 1973 and 1971 races had the opinion that Secretariat was faster. The controversy would not be settled quickly—in fact, it wouldn’t be resolved for good until 2012. Ultimately, the race videos were compared and they revealed that Secretariat reached the finish line before Canonero II. That led the Maryland Racing Commission to change Secretariat’s final time to the record of 1:53. This decision meant that Secretariat would hold the race record in all three of his Triple Crown victories.

Some traditions of the Preakness have clear similarities to the Kentucky Derby. The day before the Preakness is devoted to the Black Eyed Susan for three year old fillies. The Black Eyed Susan is the state flower of Maryland and the Preakness winner receives a garland of them with obvious parallels to the roses awarded to the Kentucky Derby winner. For many years, fans would join in the singing of “Maryland, My Maryland” performed by the US Naval Academy Glee Club from nearby Annapolis. The song was retired in 2020 due to concerns over its origins which celebrate the Confederacy from the US Civil War.