Online Betting Odds on the 2027 Kentucky Derby

If you are interested in placing some wagers online on Kentucky Derby 2027, Of course, the big payouts this year will be for exacta, trifecta and superfecta bets. With twenty horses in this year’s race, there is a lot of data and information that should be gone through to see who the real 2027 Kentucky Derby contenders are going to be as the race grows closer. Also important is paying attention to the exact odds for the 2027 Kentucky Derby. Keeping an eye on this data as the race grows closer is important when deciding which horses to bet on before the big race. With no clear winner picked yet, there is a lot of opportunity to have fun and make some money at the same time.

The Kentucky Derby is a lot of things to a lot of different people, but for those who like to wager, it is indeed two of the most exciting minutes in sports. The more research and thinking that is done before bets are made, the better chance of winning big. It’s still a gamble, of course, but knowing about the horses and the riders can help give you an advantage when trying for an exacta, trifecta or superfecta bet on Kentucky Derby 2027.

What is Kentucky Derby Betting?

There’s no question that horse racing is a complex sport and the betting component makes it even more so. It’s not possible to provide a comprehensive introduction to the ‘Kentucky Derby Betting’ in a short document. Thousands of books have been written on the topic for all levels of experience on horse betting. There’s plenty of resources for anyone that wants to learn more about race horses, tracks, training, breeding, handicapping and any other nuance of the sport. For the aspiring horse race bettor, however, the best place to start is to learn about the bets themselves for this Kentucky Derby.

Betting on horse races such as Kentucky Derby can be very intimidating for the beginner with a myriad of numbers, odds and prices flashing on a board that provides information on multiple races and often from tracks all over the world. It may seem that everyone else at the track knows what they’re doing which makes the experience even more daunting. But even the most knowledgeable horse handicapper had to start somewhere and there’s a good chance they had the same foundation in the sport that you’re about to receive—learning about the types of bets and how to place them.

Kentucky Derby Betting Foundations

As noted above, the fundamentals of horse racing have changed very little since the 18th century. For that reason, it’s helpful to understand a brief history of the three most significant developments in the growth of horse race betting in North America. The information that follows is not mere trivia—understanding how betting on horse races became standardized and modernized is important for learning how to bet successfully. All three of the following developments are still relevant today, and it’s crucial to have an understanding of these concepts to provide context for betting and handicapping.

The first one we’ll cover is downright essential to successful horse race betting at any level of expertise.

Parimutuel Wagering

A good place for the beginning horse bettor to start is by understanding parimutuel wagering and how it differs from casino or sports betting. For an advanced player, knowledge of parimutuel wagering concepts is an essential component of their handicapping and betting decisions when you wager on Kentucky Derby horses.

All horse racing tracks in North America operate under the parimutuel wagering system as do jai alai frontons. A Frenchman named Pierre Ollier receives credit for creating the system in the middle of the 19th century. A perfumer by trade, Ollier came up with the parimutuel concept as a reaction to losing too much of his money to Parisian bookmakers. The term ‘parimutuel’ loosely translates to “wagers among ourselves” (another theory suggests that it’s simply a contraction of ‘Paris’ and ‘mutuel’) and essentially eliminates the ability of oddsmakers to determine how much a specific wager should pay. That’s not always a good thing, but it is a reality that horseplayers must understand.

Under the parimutuel system, all money wagered on an individual bet type is pooled and the proceeds divided equally among the winning bets placed on races like the Derby. Before winning bets get paid the track will deduct a ‘house cut’—known to horse players as a ‘takeout.’ There is much debate among horseplayers, track owners and the racing media about the ideal amount for the ‘takeout’. Currently, takeout percentages are usually between 15% and 25% though there is a growing call for lower takeout percentages. The desirability of lower takeouts is a logical idea as it means more money in the hands of horse bettors. Since they’ll typically end up betting more with these additional funds, the money will still end up going to the track more often than not. In the process, however, the horse player will be able to make more bets and generally have a better experience at the track.

The revenue generated from the ‘takeout’ goes to pay for a variety of functions. The state and local government will get a big share. The rest goes to purses for race winners along with track operating costs and overhead. Although horse bettors at Kentucky Derby loathe a high takeout, it is one of the reasons that horse racing has been able to survive and thrive throughout the 20th century when governments would prohibit other forms of gambling. The state and local government were able to get their ‘cut’ in a bulk disbursement with full transparency. The dictates of the parimutuel system made it difficult for track employees to ‘skim’ or otherwise deny government their ‘pound of flesh’.

There’s one more way that the government regulators wring money out of the bettors—payouts on winning tickets are rounded down to an even increment (usually 10 or 20 cents). For example, a win of $33.56 would be rounded down to $33.50 (10 cents) or $33.40 (20 cents). This practice is called the ‘breakage’ and is a relic from an era when it was simply easier to calculate payouts this way. Obviously, there’s no excuse now, but it continues as another small excise on bettors but one that adds up quickly.

The Tote Board

The tote board at the racetrack might not seem like much in the digital era but its development in the early part of the 20th century revolutionized horse racing. Additionally, the tote board is credited for at least some of the sport’s public popularity and relative acceptance by government and community leaders.

Before the advent of the tote board, the calculations of winning horse bets required manual computation and that could be a time-consuming process. George Julius, an Australian engineer, developed the first all mechanical tote board in the early 1900s with the first unit installed at Ellerslie Racecourse in New Zealand in 1913. It would be a couple of decades before the first tote boards came to the United States, first at Hialeah Park, Florida (1932) and Arlington Park outside of Chicago (1933). By the late 1960’s, the mechanical tote boards started to be replaced by electronic tote boards. Today, virtually all tote boards have been replaced by computers running specialized wagering software displayed on LED screens. Despite the seismic changes in technology during the past few decades the term ‘tote board’ remains in common usage.

When tote boards first started to become popular it allowed the advocates of horse racing to make a new argument to counter concerns of corruption by civic and religious leaders. The tote board put the ‘business’ of bookmaking on full display for the public to see. The prevailing argument became that horse racing and parimutuel wagering were less ‘evil’ than traditional bookmaking. This position may be of dubious logic to say the least, but it was surprisingly effective in helping horse racing gain traction across North America during the 20th century.

Straight Bets

Kentucky Derby bets are usually divided into two categories—straight bets and exotic bets. Straight bets are the best place to start your betting career but you’ll quickly graduate into exotic bets. As the name implies, straight bets involve wagers on a single horse in a single race to either win or finish near the front of the field. Exotic bets involve either multiple horses in a single race or one or more horses in multiple races. During the 1950’s, straight bets represented 95% or more of the money wagered in a typical day at the track. The only other wager was the ‘daily double’ in which bettors would pick the winners of the first two races on the card. Today, straight bets represent only 35% or so of the overall betting handle.

There are three types of straight bets: Win, place and show

WIN: A ‘win’ bet is as simple as it gets in Kentucky Derby. You’re placing a bet at a horse to win at a given set of odds. If the horse you bet on wins, you cash your ticket. If he doesn’t, you don’t. That’s all there is to it. As far as placing a win bet goes, the example we used above is appropriate here:

“Turfway Park, Race 3, $2 to win on horse #5.”

Let’s say horse #5 goes off at 3/1 odds. You’ll receive $8 when you cash your ticket–$6 for your successful 3/1 wager and your original $2 stake. In the ‘real world’ this would be minus ‘takeout’ and ‘breakage’ but for the purpose of explaining these bets we’ll pretend that these assessments don’t exist. In the ‘real world’ the payout odds would be figured by taking the total amount wagered on all horses ‘to win’ (known as the ‘win pool’) and subtracting the takeout. That amount is then divided by the amount wagered on each horse to determine actual payouts.

Place & Show

We’ll group these two bets together since they’re very similar and the underlying math is the same for both. A Kentucky Derby ‘place’ bet is a bet that a horse will finish either first or second. A ‘show’ bet is a bet that a horse will finish first, second or third. At the track, you’d call these bets as follows:

“Turfway Park, Race 3, $2 to place on horse #8.”

“Turfway Park, Race 3, $2 to show on horse #6.”

Horse racing results will include a chart like this one from the 2015 Kentucky Derby:

AMERICAN PHAROAH $7.80 $5.80 $4.20

FIRING LINE $8.40 $5.40

DORTMUND $4.20

American Pharoah won the race and cashed all three straight bet types (win, place and show). $2 bettors on the eventual Triple Crown winner were paid off as indicated. Firing Line finished second and cashed place and show bets. Dortmund finished third and paid $4.20 to show. In most cases, the price ‘to show’ will be less than the price ‘to win’. The price to ‘place’ will be less than both other bets. There are exceptions and the 2015 Kentucky Derby was one of them. American Pharoah went off as a 5-2 favorite while Firing Line was 9-1. The disparity between these odds is why Firing Line paid more ‘to show’ than American Pharoah did ‘to win’. Keep in mind that these payouts are figured based on the amount of money in the ‘pool’ for each bet minus the track takeout. Takeout at Churchill Downs is 17.5% for straight bets and 22% for exotics.

Exotic Bets

At the outset of our discussion on horse race betting we observed that ‘at it’s essence the sport has changed little since the 19th century’. Exotic bets are the exception to that rule and are a relatively modern addition to the horse racing menu. A horse player in the 1950’s would have had only one choice for an exotic wager—the daily double, where he would try and select the winner of the first two races on the card. This was considered a ‘novelty bet’ and the province of amateurs and recreational players. 9.50 out of every 10 dollars wagered was on one of the three straight bets (win, place or show).

That has changed dramatically to the point that today exotic wagers comprise around 70 to 75 percent of the horse racing handle. One reason for the explosion in exotic wager options is competition. Throughout most of the 20th century, there were few gambling options to challenge the dominance of horse racing. Florida had a few jai alai frontons, Nevada had casino gambling and there were plenty of illegal bookmakers throughout the country. But as far as legal betting options were concerned, horse racing was just about the only game in town.

When the legal gambling market started to expand players not only had options for where to spend their betting dollars but a variety of new wagering opportunities that offered big payouts for small investments. ‘Betting a little to win a lot’ became the gambling strategy of choice for the mainstream masses. They flocked to sports betting parlay cards, networked progressive slot jackpots like Megabucks and big dollar, multi-state lotteries such as Powerball. These types of games were popular with both players and ‘the house’–they typically offered game operators a higher ‘hold’ percentage overall even with the payout of a huge jackpot.

The popularity and high hold percentage of big jackpot bets was not lost on horse racing who had a perfect product for this type of wagering. There was also plenty of precedent as what would become known as ‘exotic wagers’ had long been popular internationally. As the years progressed, the sport would continue to add new bet types with longer odds and bigger payouts to keep up with the massive expansion of other forms of gambling in the North American market.

Types of Exotic Bets

At this point, you’re probably thinking that exotic Kentucky Derby bets sound a lot like sports betting parlays. This is a very good comparison—in both cases, a player must successfully pick more than one outcome to cash a ticket. The more correct outcomes offered in a specific bet means longer odds but a larger payout for the successful handicapper. One substantial difference between Derby exotic bets and sports parlays: sports betting parlays are usually considered to be a favorite wager of ‘squares’ and recreational players. That’s not the case in horse racing where many high level handicappers specialize in trying to find value in exotic bets.

There are two types of exotic bets in horse racing determined by the number of horses and/or races a player must successfully select. A vertical bet (eg: exacta or trifecta) requires the bettor to pick the top finishers in a specific race in the correct order. A horizontal bet requires the player to pick the winner of a set number of races. The daily double is a horizontal bet but bets involving as many as six or seven races are common today. Occasionally, you’ll come across one of the new forms of exotic wagering that are essentially a hybrid of the two and require a player to select multiple horses in multiple races.

One more thing worth mentioning—the terms we’ll use to discuss the bet types below are the ones most commonly used in the United States. Many of these bets are known by other names in various parts of the world. For example, in certain parts of Canada what is known as an ‘exacta’ to American bettors is known as an ‘exactor’. If you’re betting races at an international track it’s a good idea to learn the local betting lexicon as there might be differences from what you’re used to.